Research Insights

What we are finding.

Family 2040 is a living study. As fieldwork progresses, we surface signals worth watching — early data, emerging patterns, and observations from the field. These are not final findings. They are waypoints.

Latest signals

MarriageSeptember 2026Early signal

Marriage is not dead — it is deferred.

Among Gen Z respondents aged 22–27, 74% express a desire to marry at some point. But the median expected age of first marriage has shifted to 31 — four years later than Millennial expectations at the same life stage. The institution is intact; the timeline has stretched.

FertilityAugust 2026Early signal

Fertility awareness is high — fertility confidence is not.

Gen Z is the most fertility-literate generation we have studied. Yet awareness has not translated into confidence: 61% of respondents report uncertainty about their own fertility status, and 44% say cost is the primary barrier to proactive fertility testing.

Chosen FamilyJuly 2026Emerging pattern

Chosen family is being treated as a planning category.

For the first time in our data, a meaningful share of Gen Z respondents (29%) are actively including non-biological chosen family members in long-term housing and caregiving plans. This is not sentiment — it is logistics.

ParenthoodJune 2026Watch signal

The 'child-free by choice' cohort is stabilizing.

After years of rising numbers, the share of Gen Z adults who identify as intentionally child-free appears to be stabilizing around 22% — consistent across three consecutive waves of our panel. The number is real, but the growth may have plateaued.

From the field

"The data keeps showing us that Gen Z has not abandoned family — they have redesigned the entry conditions. As they have done through every lifestage they've navigated, they will shape it to fit their agenda."

— Marta Loeb, Principal Investigator

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